Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs McLeod 47.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 75.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 56.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
McCarron
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCarron
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McCarron
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
49.2% (796)
+3.9%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
44.8% (87)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
43.3% (263)
+10.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
McCarron
McLeod
Home
52.8% (477)
49.2% (575)
Away
52.8% (411)
45.9% (571)
By Period
McCarron
McLeod
P1
56.5%
52.8%
P2
53.2%
45.1%
P3
49.0%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |