Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs McLeod 50.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 61.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
McCarron
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McCarron
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McCarron
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
0
McCarron
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
51.3% (628)
+3.2%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
68.3% (41)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
30.6% (49)
+4.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
McCarron
McLeod
Home
52.2% (339)
51.5% (394)
Away
54.2% (332)
50.0% (324)
By Period
McCarron
McLeod
P1
53.5%
51.5%
P2
50.6%
47.0%
P3
55.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |