Michael McCarron vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs McLeod 49.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 76.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
McCarron
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
McCarron
McLeod
Last 10: McCarron 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
McCarron
McLeod
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
2
McCarron
McLeod
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
McCarron
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
50.4% (3,345)
+3.0%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
51.0% (292)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
44.3% (635)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
McCarron
McLeod
Home
52.3% (1,696)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
McCarron
McLeod
P1
53.9%
50.8%
P2
52.5%
48.4%
P3
52.0%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |