Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs McLeod 47.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 81.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 61.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
McCarron
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McCarron
McLeod
Last 5: McCarron 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
McCarron
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
47.8% (448)
+9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
36.0% (25)
-3.4%
On even strength, McCarron has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
McCarron
McLeod
Home
48.3% (147)
46.6% (253)
Away
58.7% (206)
47.8% (272)
By Period
McCarron
McLeod
P1
53.4%
43.9%
P2
59.5%
45.9%
P3
50.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |