Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 53.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 55.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
McCarron
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCarron
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McCarron
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
51.8% (444)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
45.3% (150)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kuraly
Home
52.8% (477)
54.6% (304)
Away
52.8% (411)
45.5% (290)
By Period
McCarron
Kuraly
P1
56.5%
55.2%
P2
53.2%
45.7%
P3
49.0%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |