Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
McCarron 69.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McCarron
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
49.2% (901)
+13.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
68.2% (22)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
49.8% (219)
-5.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
McCarron shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kuraly
Home
59.5% (42)
51.7% (603)
Away
59.4% (64)
47.3% (539)
By Period
McCarron
Kuraly
P1
71.0%
50.9%
P2
48.7%
49.5%
P3
61.1%
49.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%