Michael McCarron vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McCarron 70.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 52.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McCarron
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
McCarron
Kuraly
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
McCarron
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
4
McCarron
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
51.5% (5,141)
+1.9%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
56.0% (100)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
44.2% (1,086)
+6.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kuraly
Home
52.3% (1,696)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
McCarron
Kuraly
P1
53.9%
51.1%
P2
52.5%
49.9%
P3
52.0%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |