Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
McCarron
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
52.3% (982)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
41.9% (43)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
39.2% (245)
-6.6%
On power play, McCarron has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kuraly
Home
48.3% (147)
50.3% (680)
Away
58.7% (206)
48.5% (590)
By Period
McCarron
Kuraly
P1
53.4%
49.5%
P2
59.5%
49.6%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |