Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
McCarron
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McCarron
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
51.6% (1,084)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
44.1% (136)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hertl
Home
48.3% (147)
55.2% (696)
Away
58.7% (206)
50.0% (770)
By Period
McCarron
Hertl
P1
53.4%
55.4%
P2
59.5%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |