Michael McLeod vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 87.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 72.7%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
McLeod
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McLeod
MacKinnon
Last 7: McLeod 4-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
McLeod
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
45.8% (755)
+12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
48.3% (60)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
27.6% (29)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McLeod is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (277).
McLeod shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
McLeod
MacKinnon
Home
55.3% (526)
49.5% (396)
Away
59.2% (529)
41.7% (448)
By Period
McLeod
MacKinnon
P1
60.7%
50.2%
P2
55.9%
43.8%
P3
55.2%
41.4%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |