Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Sturm 52.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 87.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 75.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
McLeod
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
McLeod
Sturm
Last 6: McLeod 6-0 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
54.0% (480)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
50.0% (102)
+3.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
McLeod
Sturm
Home
55.3% (526)
54.0% (287)
Away
59.2% (529)
52.0% (302)
By Period
McLeod
Sturm
P1
60.7%
53.5%
P2
55.9%
51.0%
P3
55.2%
55.1%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |