Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Sturm 55.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 79.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 67.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 87.3%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
McLeod
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
McLeod
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
56.1% (716)
+5.4%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
67.7% (31)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
51.1% (133)
+4.5%
On even strength, McLeod has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
McLeod
Sturm
Home
62.0% (460)
55.6% (412)
Away
59.4% (508)
56.0% (468)
By Period
McLeod
Sturm
P1
61.5%
59.6%
P2
63.6%
52.0%
P3
56.2%
55.5%
OT
73.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |