Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Sturm 59.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 59.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
McLeod
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McLeod
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
McLeod
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
McLeod
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
60.6% (708)
+4.2%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
61.1% (18)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
56.4% (101)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
McLeod shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
McLeod
Sturm
Home
64.3% (308)
61.6% (451)
Away
65.7% (344)
58.2% (376)
By Period
McLeod
Sturm
P1
62.9%
55.9%
P2
64.8%
58.9%
P3
67.9%
64.6%
OT
37.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
66.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |