Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 78.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 64.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
McLeod
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McLeod
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
57.0% (718)
+7.8%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
64.9% (188)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
44.2% (77)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
McLeod shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
McLeod
Hertl
Home
64.3% (308)
59.2% (463)
Away
65.7% (344)
56.0% (520)
By Period
McLeod
Hertl
P1
62.9%
56.3%
P2
64.8%
55.4%
P3
67.9%
60.5%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |