Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 50.1% vs Roy 48.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 52.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Rasmussen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rasmussen
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Rasmussen
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
0
Rasmussen
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Rasmussen
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (681)
49.5% (746)
+0.6%
Power Play
63.5% (63)
50.7% (75)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (75)
42.7% (110)
-4.0%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rasmussen is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Rasmussen shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Roy
Home
50.6% (423)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.5% (396)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Rasmussen
Roy
P1
50.4%
51.1%
P2
53.8%
44.6%
P3
46.5%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |