Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rasmussen wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 50.8% vs Roy 48.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 65.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Rasmussen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rasmussen
Roy
Last 6: Rasmussen 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Rasmussen
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (333)
48.3% (633)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
52.1% (48)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (37)
43.7% (87)
+2.2%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rasmussen is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Rasmussen shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Roy
Home
51.4% (212)
50.8% (376)
Away
50.5% (186)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Rasmussen
Roy
P1
54.5%
53.8%
P2
43.4%
43.5%
P3
54.2%
46.4%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |