Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.8% vs Roy 51.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Rasmussen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rasmussen
Roy
Last 7: Rasmussen 4-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
1
Rasmussen
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (248)
51.9% (547)
-5.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.1% (37)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
53.3% (92)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rasmussen is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Rasmussen shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Roy
Home
50.0% (98)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.4% (174)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Rasmussen
Roy
P1
40.2%
53.5%
P2
55.8%
51.6%
P3
43.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |