Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 33.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.6% vs Roy 47.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 64.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.9%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Rasmussen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rasmussen
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Rasmussen
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (184)
48.6% (679)
-1.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
48.0% (50)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
34.7% (49)
-34.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rasmussen is 33.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Rasmussen shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Roy
Home
42.3% (104)
49.3% (345)
Away
51.1% (92)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Rasmussen
Roy
P1
47.2%
47.6%
P2
42.9%
47.1%
P3
49.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |