Michael Sgarbossa vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sgarbossa wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 45.9% vs Hertl 54.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sgarbossa 61.6%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 64.6%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 63.4%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Last 6: Sgarbossa 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
2
1
Sgarbossa
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Sgarbossa
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (588)
53.8% (8,268)
-8.7%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
59.3% (1,975)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.3% (806)
-6.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sgarbossa is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Home
42.5% (320)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
48.3% (296)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Hertl
P1
45.0%
53.6%
P2
47.1%
54.1%
P3
43.9%
55.3%
OT
0.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |