Scouting Report
Michael Sgarbossa holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Sgarbossa wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 52.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Sgarbossa 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Sgarbossa
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (72)
51.6% (1,084)
+5.3%
On even strength, Sgarbossa has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sgarbossa is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Home
40.0% (25)
55.2% (696)
Away
66.0% (47)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Hertl
P1
61.8%
55.4%
P2
52.4%
54.8%
P3
52.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
66.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
56.9%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%