Michael Sgarbossa vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sgarbossa wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 45.9% vs Hertl 54.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sgarbossa 63.8%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 65.8%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 64.2%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Last 6: Sgarbossa 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
2
1
Sgarbossa
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Sgarbossa
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (588)
53.6% (8,077)
-8.5%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
59.7% (1,916)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.0% (793)
-6.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sgarbossa is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,755).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Home
42.5% (320)
55.6% (5,217)
Away
48.3% (296)
52.7% (5,569)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Hertl
P1
45.0%
53.6%
P2
47.1%
53.9%
P3
43.9%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
46.8%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.3%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |