Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Sgarbossa wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 47.8% vs Hertl 56.8% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.5%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 50.9%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 53.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Sgarbossa
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (121)
57.0% (718)
-12.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.9% (188)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
44.2% (77)
+55.8%
On penalty kill, Sgarbossa has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sgarbossa is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Home
41.1% (56)
59.2% (463)
Away
50.0% (70)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Hertl
P1
38.5%
56.3%
P2
47.7%
55.4%
P3
48.2%
60.5%
Final 5 min
41.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
46.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%