Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 49.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.6%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Sgarbossa
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (19)
54.1% (717)
-6.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.9% (210)
-61.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +61.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sgarbossa is 20.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Hertl
Home
41.7% (12)
58.1% (492)
Away
50.0% (8)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Hertl
P1
42.9%
57.1%
P2
40.0%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%