Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 65.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.7% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 64.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (939)
53.3% (758)
+2.9%
Power Play
66.9% (139)
46.2% (39)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (239)
45.3% (139)
-1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 65.1% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
55.4% (663)
48.9% (415)
Away
54.7% (654)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
54.9%
53.1%
P2
55.1%
51.4%
P3
54.0%
50.8%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Zibanejad
54.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |