Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Duchene wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 63.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 63.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Duchene
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Duchene
Zibanejad
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Duchene
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Duchene
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
7
Duchene
Zibanejad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
52.7% (938)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
49.3% (225)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
39.5% (124)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Duchene shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zibanejad
Home
55.7% (652)
54.9% (594)
Away
50.4% (702)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Duchene
Zibanejad
P1
51.4%
50.1%
P2
53.9%
49.0%
P3
53.3%
53.0%
OT
55.6%
52.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |