Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.4%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.7% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 64.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Last 6: Zibanejad 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,211)
48.8% (467)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (214)
53.4% (58)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (247)
60.0% (5)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bjugstad is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Home
52.8% (825)
49.0% (261)
Away
46.6% (848)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
46.5%
50.5%
P3
52.0%
47.2%
OT
48.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |