Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 59.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Last 7: Zibanejad 4-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
3
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
49.4% (867)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
56.0% (25)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
40.7% (216)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Home
49.0% (681)
46.5% (480)
Away
49.9% (717)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
P1
49.9%
48.7%
P2
47.6%
45.6%
P3
51.1%
49.1%
OT
48.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |