Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 74.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 78.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
46.7% (398)
+6.2%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
51.6% (31)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
62.5% (8)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Home
55.1% (501)
47.3% (220)
Away
49.2% (555)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
P1
57.5%
46.1%
P2
50.7%
46.3%
P3
47.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |