Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.2%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 64.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
50.7% (906)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
48.1% (108)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
44.4% (239)
-6.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (536)
49.8% (643)
Away
47.6% (576)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
P1
50.1%
49.4%
P2
47.3%
50.5%
P3
50.7%
47.9%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |