Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
48.9% (280)
+4.5%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
50.0% (6)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
47.2% (36)
-2.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
Home
49.0% (429)
48.4% (190)
Away
54.1% (521)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bjugstad
P1
53.0%
41.7%
P2
51.1%
56.6%
P3
51.0%
48.7%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |