Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 70.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 65.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 65.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Zibanejad
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Zibanejad
Hertl
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Zibanejad
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Zibanejad
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
2
Zibanejad
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (809)
54.7% (570)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.4% (204)
55.2% (143)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (191)
54.5% (77)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hertl is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hertl
Home
49.8% (588)
56.2% (379)
Away
48.5% (616)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hertl
P1
47.4%
53.4%
P2
50.7%
52.7%
P3
49.0%
57.6%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |