Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Zibanejad
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Zibanejad
Hertl
Last 10: Zibanejad 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
5
Zibanejad
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Zibanejad
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
57.0% (718)
-6.1%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
64.9% (188)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
44.2% (77)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hertl
Home
51.1% (536)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.6% (576)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hertl
P1
50.1%
56.3%
P2
47.3%
55.4%
P3
50.7%
60.5%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |