Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Zibanejad
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Zibanejad
Hertl
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Zibanejad
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
0
Zibanejad
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Zibanejad
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
54.1% (1,117)
-4.0%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
59.8% (296)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
34.4% (32)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hertl
Home
49.0% (681)
54.3% (709)
Away
49.9% (717)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hertl
P1
49.9%
51.6%
P2
47.6%
53.6%
P3
51.1%
58.6%
OT
48.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |