Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 29-29 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Zibanejad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
29
(58 meetings)
29
29
Zibanejad
Seguin
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Zibanejad
Seguin
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
11
Zibanejad
Seguin
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
15
9
Zibanejad
Seguin
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
55.9% (810)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
49.3% (762)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Seguin
Home
51.6% (7,566)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Zibanejad
Seguin
P1
50.4%
52.8%
P2
49.7%
53.3%
P3
49.8%
54.7%
OT
48.7%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |