Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Zibanejad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Seguin
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zibanejad
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
56.5% (712)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
59.7% (67)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
44.9% (49)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Zibanejad shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Seguin
Home
55.2% (656)
58.5% (402)
Away
49.6% (682)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Zibanejad
Seguin
P1
56.3%
58.4%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
51.2%
54.1%
OT
52.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |