Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Backlund 48.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Coyle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Backlund
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Coyle
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
50.1% (711)
-3.5%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
43.2% (81)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
38.6% (83)
+51.4%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Backlund is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backlund
Home
50.4% (367)
51.0% (396)
Away
42.5% (351)
46.1% (479)
By Period
Coyle
Backlund
P1
46.8%
43.9%
P2
47.9%
51.5%
P3
45.9%
51.0%
OT
14.3%
12.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |