Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs Backlund 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Coyle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Backlund
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Coyle
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
51.1% (1,070)
+2.2%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
50.5% (91)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
45.2% (248)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Coyle is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Coyle shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backlund
Home
49.5% (210)
49.3% (702)
Away
54.4% (250)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Coyle
Backlund
P1
53.3%
46.3%
P2
48.0%
53.8%
P3
55.7%
49.9%
OT
46.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |