Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Backlund 49.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 72.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.5%
Neutral zone
Domi 56.4%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Domi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
22
(33 meetings)
11
22
Domi
Backlund
Last 10: Domi 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Domi
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
12
Domi
Backlund
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
7
Domi
Backlund
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
49.7% (13,410)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
51.6% (1,336)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.0% (2,446)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Domi
Backlund
Home
49.7% (2,604)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Domi
Backlund
P1
48.7%
48.5%
P2
48.3%
50.3%
P3
49.8%
48.4%
OT
43.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |