Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 80.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Backlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backlund
Bjugstad
Last 6: Backlund 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Backlund
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
49.4% (867)
+2.5%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
56.0% (25)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
40.7% (216)
+3.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bjugstad
Home
51.9% (673)
46.5% (480)
Away
49.9% (713)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Backlund
Bjugstad
P1
51.4%
48.7%
P2
50.5%
45.6%
P3
51.4%
49.1%
OT
35.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |