Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 54.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 66.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Backlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Backlund
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
46.7% (398)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
51.6% (31)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
62.5% (8)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bjugstad
Home
48.7% (749)
47.3% (220)
Away
48.1% (703)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Backlund
Bjugstad
P1
50.4%
46.1%
P2
50.1%
46.3%
P3
45.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |