Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Thomas 51.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 65.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Backlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Backlund
Thomas
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
7
Backlund
Thomas
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
3
Backlund
Thomas
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
5
Backlund
Thomas
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
50.1% (615)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
62.2% (98)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
52.6% (114)
-4.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thomas
Home
48.1% (580)
51.9% (374)
Away
51.1% (653)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Backlund
Thomas
P1
45.1%
49.2%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
50.6%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |