Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Thomas 54.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Backlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Backlund
Thomas
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
7
Backlund
Thomas
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
6
Backlund
Thomas
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Backlund
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
55.3% (990)
-4.9%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
54.2% (190)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
52.5% (158)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thomas
Home
48.7% (749)
55.1% (690)
Away
48.1% (703)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Backlund
Thomas
P1
50.4%
55.5%
P2
50.1%
56.4%
P3
45.8%
51.5%
OT
30.8%
69.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |