Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Thomas 49.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 53.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Backlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Backlund
Thomas
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Backlund
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
2
Backlund
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
49.0% (910)
+2.5%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
53.5% (142)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
53.3% (75)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thomas
Home
51.6% (653)
47.3% (514)
Away
49.3% (576)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Backlund
Thomas
P1
50.0%
50.4%
P2
49.8%
47.5%
P3
51.7%
51.4%
OT
53.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |