Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Thomas 52.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 50.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Backlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Backlund
Thomas
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
6
Backlund
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Backlund
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
53.6% (924)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
55.2% (181)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
44.0% (116)
+0.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thomas
Home
51.9% (673)
53.6% (606)
Away
49.9% (713)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Backlund
Thomas
P1
51.4%
48.2%
P2
50.5%
55.3%
P3
51.4%
55.2%
OT
35.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |