Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.6% vs Thomas 44.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 66.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Backlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Backlund
Thomas
Last 7: Backlund 3-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Backlund
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Backlund
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (630)
42.1% (297)
+5.2%
Power Play
48.5% (66)
50.0% (16)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (82)
75.0% (4)
-28.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Backlund is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Backlund shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thomas
Home
50.4% (347)
40.9% (186)
Away
44.8% (431)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Backlund
Thomas
P1
46.7%
43.3%
P2
44.9%
40.6%
P3
49.8%
45.3%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |