Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Donato 45.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 62.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Backlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Backlund
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
42.9% (140)
+9.0%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
28.6% (7)
+23.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Backlund
Donato
Home
51.9% (673)
44.6% (83)
Away
49.9% (713)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Backlund
Donato
P1
51.4%
53.2%
P2
50.5%
33.3%
P3
51.4%
41.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |