Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Donato 46.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 91.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 78.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Backlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Backlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
44.4% (180)
+6.6%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
43.2% (37)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
40.0% (5)
+2.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Backlund
Donato
Home
51.2% (782)
45.4% (97)
Away
49.4% (765)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Backlund
Donato
P1
51.5%
36.2%
P2
49.8%
48.6%
P3
49.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |