Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Donato 45.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 59.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 90.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Backlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Backlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
43.5% (400)
+6.9%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
48.7% (119)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
33.3% (6)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Backlund
Donato
Home
48.7% (749)
50.2% (279)
Away
48.1% (703)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Backlund
Donato
P1
50.4%
44.6%
P2
50.1%
46.6%
P3
45.8%
42.0%
OT
30.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |