Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Carrick 53.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 63.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Backlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
55.1% (439)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
66.7% (3)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
49.1% (53)
-1.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Backlund
Carrick
Home
48.1% (580)
58.2% (225)
Away
51.1% (653)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Backlund
Carrick
P1
45.1%
56.7%
P2
54.7%
52.8%
P3
49.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |