Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 57.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Backlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Backlund
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
48.9% (352)
+2.6%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
81.3% (16)
-31.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
42.2% (45)
+3.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Backlund
Carrick
Home
51.6% (653)
46.9% (192)
Away
49.3% (576)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Backlund
Carrick
P1
50.0%
48.1%
P2
49.8%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |